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Appendix A: Performance and Resource Tables

 

STRATEGIC OBJECTIVE 3.1

Advance understanding and predict changes in the Earth’s environment to meet America’s economic, social, and environmental needs

OBJECTIVE 3.1 RESOURCES
(Dollars in Millions)
  FY 2000
Actual		 FY 2001
Actual		 FY 2002
Actual		 FY 2003
Actual		 FY 2004
Actual		 FY 2005
Actual		 FY 2006
Actual		 FY 2007
Actual
Total Funding $1,477.3 $1,614.8 $1,500.8 $1,631.6 $1,123.1 $1,155.0 $1,165.3 $1,159.4
FTE – Full-Time Equivalent 6,289 6,690 5,885 5,537 5,363 5,253 5,572 5,165

 

PERFORMANCE OBJECTIVE: Serve society’s needs for weather and water information (NOAA)

PERFORMANCE OBJECTIVE RESOURCES
(Dollars in Millions)
  FY 2000
Actual		 FY 2001
Actual		 FY 2002
Actual		 FY 2003
Actual		 FY 2004
Actual		 FY 2005
Actual		 FY 2006
Actual		 FY 2007
Actual
Total Funding $1,260.9 $1,376.0 $1,188.8 $1,284.1 $883.6 $898.1 $929.2 $900.7
FTE – Full-Time Equivalent 5,812 5,997 5,100 4,912 4,760 4,654 4,907 4,708

NOAA PERFORMANCE MEASURE
MEASURE: Severe weather warnings for tornadoes (county-based) – Lead time (minutes)1
Year Status Actual Target
FY 2007 Green (Met target) 142 13
Year Status Historical Results Historical Target
FY 2006 Green (Met target) 13 13
FY 2005 Green (Met target) 13 13
FY 2004 Green (Met target) 13 12
FY 2003 Green (Met target) 13 12
FY 2002 Green (Met target) 12 11
FY 2001 Red (Did not meet target) 10 13
FY 2000 Red (Did not meet target) 10 12
1 Prior to FY 2007, this measure was known as “Tornado warnings lead time (minutes).” (back)
2 Projected. Final – December 2007. (back)

NOAA PERFORMANCE MEASURE
MEASURE: Severe weather warnings for tornadoes (county-based) – Accuracy (%)1
Year Status Actual Target
FY 2007 Green (Met target) 80%2 76%
Year Status Historical Results Historical Target
FY 2006 Yellow (Slightly below target) 75% 76%
FY 2005 Green (Met target) 76% 73%
FY 2004 Green (Met target) 75% 72%
FY 2003 Green (Met target) 79% 72%
FY 2002 Green (Met target) 76% 69%
FY 2001 Yellow (Slightly below target) 67% 68%
FY 2000 Red (Did not meet target) 63% 70%
1 Prior to FY 2007, this measure was known as “Tornado warnings accuracy (%).” (back)
2 Projected. Final – December 2007. (back)

NOAA PERFORMANCE MEASURE
MEASURE: Severe weather warnings for tornadoes (county-based) – False alarm rate (%)1
Year Status Actual Target
FY 2007 Green (Met target) 75%2 75%
Year Status Historical Results Historical Target
FY 2006 Yellow (Slightly below target) 79% 75%
FY 2005 Red (Did not meet target) 77% 73%
FY 2004 Red (Did not meet target) 74% 70%
FY 2003 Red (Did not meet target) 76% 72%
FY 2002 Yellow (Slightly below target) 73% 71%
FY 2001 Green (Met target) 73% 73%
FY 2000 Red (Did not meet target) 76% 65%
1 Prior to FY 2007, this measure was known as “Tornado warnings false alarm rate (%).” (back)
2 Projected. Final – December 2007. (back)

NOAA PERFORMANCE MEASURE
MEASURE: Severe weather warnings for flash floods – Lead time (minutes)1
Year Status Actual Target
FY 2007 Blue (Exceeded target) 612 48
Year Status Historical Results Historical Target
FY 2006 Green (Met target) 49 48
FY 2005 Green (Met target) 54 48
FY 2004 Red (Did not meet target) 47 50
FY 2003 Red (Did not meet target) 41 47
FY 2002 Green (Met target) 52 45
FY 2001 Green (Met target) 46 45
FY 2000 Red (Did not meet target) 43 55
1 Prior to FY 2007, this measure was known as “Flash flood warnings lead time (minutes).” (back)
2 Projected. Final – December 2007. (back)

NOAA PERFORMANCE MEASURE
MEASURE: Severe weather warnings for flash floods – Accuracy (%)1
Year Status Actual Target
FY 2007 Green (Met target) 91%2 89%
Year Status Historical Results Historical Target
FY 2006 Green (Met target) 89% 89%
FY 2005 Green (Met target) 89% 89%
FY 2004 Green (Met target) 89% 88%
FY 2003 Green (Met target) 89% 87%
FY 2002 Green (Met target) 89% 86%
FY 2001 Green (Met target) 86% 86%
FY 2000 Green (Met target) 86% 86%
1 Prior to FY 2007, this measure was known as “Flash flood warnings accuracy (%).” (back)
2 Projected. Final – December 2007. (back)

NOAA PERFORMANCE MEASURE
MEASURE: Hurricane forecast track error (48 hours) (nautical miles)
Year Status Actual Target
FY 2007 Green (Met target) 971 110
Year Status Historical Results Historical Target
FY 2006 Green (Met target) 97 111
FY 2005 Green (Met target) 101 128
FY 2004 Blue (Exceeded target) 94 129
FY 2003 Green (Met target) 107 130
FY 2002 Green (Met target) 122 142
FY 2001   New—no target to measure against  
1 Since final data will not be available until February 2008, and a good estimate cannot be determined, beginning in FY 2007, NOAA will report the previous year’s results. (back)

NOAA PERFORMANCE MEASURE
MEASURE: Accuracy (%) (threat score) of day 1 precipitation forecasts1
Year Status Actual Target
FY 2007 Green (Met target) 31 29
Year Status Historical Results Historical Target
FY 2006 Green (Met target) 30 28
FY 2005 Green (Met target) 29 27
FY 2004 Green (Met target) 29 25
FY 2003 Green (Met target) 29 25
FY 2002 Blue (Exceeded target) 26 17
FY 2001 Red (Did not meet target) 19 22
FY 2000 Red (Did not meet target) 16 20
1 From FY 2000 - FY 2002, this was accuracy of 3-day forecast. (back)

NOAA PERFORMANCE MEASURE
MEASURE: Winter storm warnings – Lead time (hours)
Year Status Actual Target
FY 2007 Blue (Exceeded target) 19 15
Year Status Historical Results Historical Target
FY 2006 Green (Met target) 17 15
FY 2005 Green (Met target) 17 15
FY 2004 Green (Met target) 15 14
FY 2003 Green (Met target) 14 13
FY 2002 Green (Met target) 13 13
FY 2001 Green (Met target) 13 13
FY 2000 Red (Did not meet target) 9 12

NOAA PERFORMANCE MEASURE
MEASURE: Winter storm warnings – Accuracy (%)
Year Status Actual Target
FY 2007 Green (Met target) 92% 90%
Year Status Historical Results Historical Target
FY 2006 Yellow (Slightly below target) 89% 90%
FY 2005 Green (Met target) 91% 90%
FY 2004 Green (Met target) 91% 89%
FY 2003 Green (Met target) 90% 88%
FY 2002 Green (Met target) 89% 86%
FY 2001 Green (Met target) 90% 86%
FY 2000 Green (Met target) 85% 85%

NOAA PERFORMANCE MEASURE
MEASURE: Cumulative percentage of U.S. shoreline and inland areas that have improved ability to reduce coastal hazard impacts
Year Status Actual Target
FY 2007 Green (Met target) 32% 32%
Year Status Historical Results Historical Target
FY 2006 Green (Met target) 32% 32%
FY 2005 Green (Met target) 28% 28%
FY 2004 Green (Met target) 17% 17%
FY 2003 Green (Met target) 17% 17%
FY 2002 Red (Did not meet target) 8% 17%
FY 2001 Green (Met target) 8% 6%
FY 2000 Red (Did not meet target) 8% 14%

 

PERFORMANCE OBJECTIVE: Understand climate variability and change to enhance society’s ability to plan and respond (NOAA)

PERFORMANCE OBJECTIVE RESOURCES
(Dollars in Millions)
  FY 2000
Actual		 FY 2001
Actual		 FY 2002
Actual		 FY 2003
Actual		 FY 2004
Actual		 FY 2005
Actual		 FY 2006
Actual		 FY 2007
Actual
Total Funding $216.4 $238.8 $312.0 $347.5 $239.5 $256.9 $236.1 $258.7
FTE – Full-Time Equivalent 477 693 785 625 603 599 665 457

NOAA PERFORMANCE MEASURE
MEASURE: U.S. temperature forecasts (cumulative skill score computed over the regions where predictions are made)
Year Status Actual Target
FY 2007 Blue (Exceeded target) 29 19
Year Status Historical Results Historical Target
FY 2006 Blue (Exceeded target) 25 18
FY 2005 Green (Met target) 19 18
FY 2004 Red (Did not meet target) 17 21
FY 2003 Red (Did not meet target) 17 20
FY 2002 Red (Did not meet target) 18 20
FY 2001 Green (Met target) 20 20
FY 2000 Green (Met target) 25 20

NOAA PERFORMANCE MEASURE
MEASURE: Reduce the uncertainty in the magnitude of the North American carbon uptake
Year Status Actual Target
FY 2007 Green (Met target) 0.40 GtC/yr1 0.40 GtC/yr
Year Status Historical Results Historical Target
FY 2006 Green (Met target) 0.40 GtC/yr 0.40 GtC/yr
FY 2005 Green (Met target) 0.40 GtC/yr 0.48 GtC/yr
FY 2004 Green (Met target) 0.50 GtC/yr 0.70 GtC/yr
FY 2003 Green (Met target) 0.80 GtC/yr 0.50 GtC/yr
FY 2002 Green (Met target) Identified 5 pilot sites and 4 carbon tracks Identified 5 pilot sites and 4 carbon tracks
FY 2001   New—no target to measure against  
1 Estimate. Final – February 2008. (back)

NOAA PERFORMANCE MEASURE
MEASURE: Reduce the uncertainty in model simulations of the influence of aerosols on climate
Year Status Actual Target
FY 2007 Green (Met target) 10% 10% improvement
Year Status Historical Results Historical Target
FY 2006 Green (Met target) 10% Establish 10% improvement
FY 2005   New—no target to measure against  

NOAA PERFORMANCE MEASURE
MEASURE: Determine the national explained variance (%) for temperature and precipitation for the contiguous United States using USCRN stations
Year Status Actual Target
FY 2007 Green (Met target) Temperature-97.7%, Precipitation-93.8% Temperature-97.2%, Precipitation-92.6%
Year Status Historical Results Historical Target
FY 2006 Green (Met target) Temperature-97.1%, Precipitation-91.9% Temperature-97.0%, Precipitation-91.4%
FY 2005 Green (Met target) Temperature-96.9%, Precipitation-91.4% Temperature-96.7%, Precipitation-90.0%
FY 2004 Blue (Exceeded target) Temperature-96.0%, Precipitation-90.0% Temperature-80.0%, Precipitation-55.0%
FY 2003 Blue (Exceeded target) Temperature-95.0%, Precipitation-84.0% Temperature-70.0%, Precipitation-40.0%
FY 2002 Blue (Exceeded target) Temperature-85.0%, Precipitation-55.0% Temperature-60.0%, Precipitation-25.0%
FY 2001   New—no target to measure against  

NOAA PERFORMANCE MEASURE
MEASURE: Reduce the error in global measurement of sea surface temperature
Year Status Actual Target
FY 2007 Red (Did not meet target) 0.53șC 0.5șC
Performance was not met, because:
Current observing platform deployments are not spatially optimized to reduce the satellite bias error to the desired level (between 0.2 and 0.5 degrees Celsius).
Strategies for Improvement:
As funding becomes available, deployment strategies will be optimized using charter ships and surface current models to fill the observing gaps.
Year Status Historical Results Historical Target
FY 2006 Red (Did not meet target) 0.53șC 0.50șC
FY 2005   New—no target to measure against  

NOAA PERFORMANCE MEASURE
MEASURE: Improve society’s ability to plan and respond to climate variability and change using NOAA climate products and information
Year Status Actual Target
FY 2007 Green (Met target) 32 32 assessments/evaluations
Year Status Historical Results Historical Target
FY 2006 Green (Met target) 33 assessments/evaluations 32 assessments/evaluations
FY 2005   New—no target to measure against  

 
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