Appendix A: Performance and Resource Tables
STRATEGIC OBJECTIVE 3.1
Advance understanding and predict changes in the Earth’s
environment to meet America’s economic, social, and environmental
needs
OBJECTIVE 3.1 RESOURCES
(Dollars in Millions)
| |
FY 1999
Actual |
FY 2000
Actual |
FY 2001
Actual |
FY 2002
Actual |
FY 2003
Actual |
FY 2004
Actual |
FY 2005
Actual |
FY 2006
Actual |
| Total Funding |
$1,471.9 |
$1,477.3 |
$1,614.8 |
$1,500.8 |
$1,631.6 |
$1,123.1 |
$1,155.0 |
$1,165.3 |
| FTE – Full-Time
Equivalent |
7,385 |
6,289 |
6,690 |
5,885 |
5,537 |
5,363 |
5,253 |
5,572 |
PERFORMANCE GOAL: Serve society’s needs for weather and water
information (NOAA)
PERFORMANCE GOAL RESOURCES
(Dollars in Millions)
| |
FY 1999
Actual |
FY 2000
Actual |
FY 2001
Actual |
FY 2002
Actual |
FY 2003
Actual |
FY 2004
Actual |
FY 2005
Actual |
FY 2006
Actual |
| Total Funding |
$1,269.4 |
$1,260.9 |
$1,376.0 |
$1,188.8 |
$1,284.1 |
$883.6 |
$898.1 |
$929.2 |
| FTE – Full-Time
Equivalent |
6,351 |
5,812 |
5,997 |
5,100 |
4,912 |
4,760 |
4,654 |
4,907 |
NOAA PERFORMANCE MEASURE
| MEASURE: Tornado
warnings lead time (minutes) |
| Year |
Status |
Actual |
Target |
| FY 2006 |
 |
121
|
13 |
Performance was not met, because:
There is a slight risk of not meeting the lead time goals for FY 2006.
The lead time value stands at 12.4 minutes, but with very few tornadoes
in August and September, this value may not change substantially. |
Strategies for Improvement:
The Advanced Warning Operations Course (AWOC) will continue to be
offered and updated during FY 2006. The inclusion of Federal Aviation
Administration Terminal Doppler Weather Radar data in AWIPS Build
OB6 will complement existing WSR-88D data. The Open Radar Data Acquisition
(ORDA) platform continues to be deployed. Super Resolution WSR88D
data will be added to the ORDA in Build 10 (scheduled for FY 2008).
Super resolution data will provide forecasters the capability to view
more precise images of tornadic signatures on radar displays, enabling
earlier decisions on tornado warning, and reducing false alarms. |
| Year |
Status |
Historical Results |
| FY 2005 |
 |
13 |
| FY 2004 |
|
13 |
| FY 2003 |
|
13 |
| FY 2002 |
|
12 |
| FY 2001 |
 |
10 |
| FY 2000 |
|
10 |
| FY 1999 |
|
12 |
NOAA PERFORMANCE MEASURE
| MEASURE: Tornado
warnings accuracy (%) |
| Year |
Status |
Actual |
Target |
| FY 2006 |
|
76%1
|
76% |
| Year |
Status |
Historical Results |
| FY 2005 |
|
76% |
| FY 2004 |
|
75% |
| FY 2003 |
|
79% |
| FY 2002 |
|
76% |
| FY 2001 |
|
67% |
| FY 2000 |
|
63% |
| FY 1999 |
|
70% |
NOAA PERFORMANCE MEASURE
| MEASURE: Tornado
warnings false alarm rate (%) |
| Year |
Status |
Actual |
Target |
| FY 2006 |
|
79%1
|
75% |
Performance was not met, because:
The FY 2006 FAR Goal of 75 percent will not be met. The current value
of 78.5 percent has remained relatively unchanged over the last year.
There is a strong statistical relationship between accuracy and FAR
using current technology and operational methodology. A higher rate
of accuracy results in a higher FAR. National Emergency Managers and
media surveys have indicated that higher FAR is tolerable if it results
in longer lead times and increased accuracy. |
Strategies for Improvement:
The Advanced Warning Operations Course (AWOC) will continue to be
offered and updated during FY 2006. The inclusion of Federal Aviation
Administration Terminal Doppler Weather Radar data in AWIPS Build
OB6 will complement existing WSR-88D data. The Open Radar Data Acquisition
(ORDA) platform continues to be deployed. Super Resolution WSR88D
data will be added to the ORDA in Build 10 (scheduled for FY 2008).
Super resolution data will provide forecasters the capability to view
more precise images of tornadic signatures on radar displays, enabling
earlier decisions on tornado warning, and reducing false alarms. |
| Year |
Status |
Historical Results |
| FY 2005 |
|
77% |
| FY 2004 |
|
74% |
| FY 2003 |
|
76% |
| FY 2002 |
|
73% |
| FY 2001 |
|
73% |
| FY 2000 |
|
76% |
| FY 1999 |
|
73% |
NOAA PERFORMANCE MEASURE
| MEASURE: Flash flood
warnings lead time (minutes) |
| Year |
Status |
Actual |
Target |
| FY 2006 |
|
501
|
48 |
| Year |
Status |
Historical Results |
| FY 2005 |
|
54 |
| FY 2004 |
|
47 |
| FY 2003 |
|
41 |
| FY 2002 |
|
52 |
| FY 2001 |
|
46 |
| FY 2000 |
|
43 |
| FY 1999 |
|
44 |
NOAA PERFORMANCE MEASURE
| MEASURE: Flash flood
warnings accuracy (%) |
| Year |
Status |
Actual |
Target |
| FY 2006 |
|
88%1
|
89% |
Performance was not met, because:
For the October-July timeframe, NWS is exceeding the lead time, but
slightly below the accuracy for the FY 2006 annual performance goals.
As noted above, at this time of year results are expected to fall.
It is anticipated that these measures will continue to decline as
the convective season progresses. |
Strategies for Improvement:
Enhancements to AWIPS, ASOS, NERON, and WSR-88D radar are being made
to improve performance. |
| Year |
Status |
Historical Results |
| FY 2005 |
|
89% |
| FY 2004 |
|
89% |
| FY 2003 |
|
89% |
| FY 2002 |
|
89% |
| FY 2001 |
|
86% |
| FY 2000 |
|
86% |
| FY 1999 |
|
83% |
NOAA PERFORMANCE MEASURE
| MEASURE: Hurricane
forecast track error (48 hours) (nautical miles) |
| Year |
Status |
Actual |
Target |
| FY 2006 |
|
1011
|
111 |
| Year |
Status |
Historical Results |
| FY 2005 |
|
101 |
| FY 2004 |
 |
94 |
| FY 2003 |
|
107 |
| FY 2002 |
|
122 |
| FY 2001 |
|
New—no
target to measure against |
NOAA PERFORMANCE MEASURE
| MEASURE: Accuracy
(%) (threat score) of day 1 precipitation forecasts1
|
| Year |
Status |
Actual |
Target |
| FY 2006 |
|
30 |
28 |
| Year |
Status |
Historical Results |
| FY 2005 |
|
29 |
| FY 2004 |
|
29 |
| FY 2003 |
|
29 |
| FY 2002 |
|
26 |
| FY 2001 |
|
19 |
| FY 2000 |
|
16 |
| FY 1999 |
|
New—no
target to measure against |
NOAA PERFORMANCE MEASURE
| MEASURE: Winter storm
warnings lead time (hours) |
| Year |
Status |
Actual |
Target |
| FY 2006 |
|
17 |
15 |
| Year |
Status |
Historical Results |
| FY 2005 |
|
17 |
| FY 2004 |
|
15 |
| FY 2003 |
|
14 |
| FY 2002 |
|
13 |
| FY 2001 |
|
13 |
| FY 2000 |
|
9 |
| FY 1999 |
|
New—no
target to measure against |
NOAA PERFORMANCE MEASURE
| MEASURE: Winter storm
warnings accuracy (%) |
| Year |
Status |
Actual |
Target |
| FY 2006 |
|
89% |
90% |
Performance was not met, because:
During the third quarter, the cumulative percentage dropped to 89
percent when rounded from .8944 which is below the FY 2006 goal of
90 percent. |
Strategies for Improvement:
Enhancements to NERON and models such as Weather Research and Forecasting
(WRF) are being made to allow more precise and timely warnings. |
| Year |
Status |
Historical Results |
| FY 2005 |
|
91% |
| FY 2004 |
|
91% |
| FY 2003 |
|
90% |
| FY 2002 |
|
89% |
| FY 2001 |
|
90% |
| FY 2000 |
|
85% |
| FY 1999 |
|
New—no
target to measure against |
NOAA PERFORMANCE MEASURE
| MEASURE: Cumulative
percentage of U.S. shoreline and inland areas that have improved ability
to reduce coastal hazard impacts |
| Year |
Status |
Actual |
Target |
| FY 2006 |
|
32% |
32% |
| Year |
Status |
Historical Results |
| FY 2005 |
|
28% |
| FY 2004 |
|
17% |
| FY 2003 |
|
17% |
| FY 2002 |
|
8% |
| FY 2001 |
|
8% |
| FY 2000 |
|
8% |
| FY 1999 |
|
7% |
PERFORMANCE GOAL: Understand climate variability and change to enhance
society’s ability to plan and respond (NOAA)
PERFORMANCE GOAL RESOURCES
(Dollars in Millions)
| |
FY 1999
Actual |
FY 2000
Actual |
FY 2001
Actual |
FY 2002
Actual |
FY 2003
Actual |
FY 2004
Actual |
FY 2005
Actual |
FY 2006
Actual |
| Total Funding |
$202.5 |
$216.4 |
$238.8 |
$312.0 |
$347.5 |
$239.5 |
$256.9 |
$236.1 |
| FTE – Full-Time
Equivalent |
1,034 |
477 |
693 |
785 |
625 |
603 |
599 |
665 |
NOAA PERFORMANCE MEASURE
| MEASURE: U.S. temperature
forecasts (cumulative skill score computed over the regions where
predictions are made) |
| Year |
Status |
Actual |
Target |
| FY 2006 |
|
25 |
18 |
| Year |
Status |
Historical Results |
| FY 2005 |
|
19 |
| FY 2004 |
|
17 |
| FY 2003 |
|
17 |
| FY 2002 |
|
18 |
| FY 2001 |
|
20 |
| FY 2000 |
|
25 |
| FY 1999 |
|
23.3 |
NOAA PERFORMANCE MEASURE
| MEASURE: Reduce the
uncertainty in the magnitude of the North American (NA) carbon uptake |
| Year |
Status |
Actual |
Target |
| FY 2006 |
|
0.40 GtC/yr |
0.40 GtC/yr |
| Year |
Status |
Historical Results |
| FY 2005 |
|
0.40
GtC/yr |
| FY 2004 |
|
0.50
GtC/yr |
| FY 2003 |
|
0.80
GtC/yr |
| FY 2002 |
|
Identified
5 pilot sites and 4 carbon tracks |
| FY 2001 |
|
New—no
target to measure against |
NOAA PERFORMANCE MEASURE
| MEASURE: Reduce the
uncertainty in model simulations of the influence of aerosols on climate |
| Year |
Status |
Actual |
Target |
| FY 2006 |
|
10% |
Establish
10% improvement |
| Year |
Status |
Historical Results |
| FY 2005 |
|
New—no
target to measure against |
NOAA PERFORMANCE MEASURE
| MEASURE: Determine
the national explained variance (%) for temperature and precipitation
for the contiguous United States using USCRN stations |
| Year |
Status |
Actual |
Target |
| FY 2006 |
|
Temperature-97.0%
Precipitation-91.8% |
Temperature-97.0%
Precipitation-91.4% |
| Year |
Status |
Historical Results |
| FY 2005 |
|
Temperature-96.9%
/ Precipitation-91.4% |
| FY 2004 |
|
Temperature-96%
/ Precipitation-90% |
| FY 2003 |
|
Temperature-95%/
Precipitation-84% |
| FY 2002 |
|
Temperature-85%/
Precipitation-55% |
| FY 2001 |
|
New—no
target to measure against |
NOAA PERFORMANCE MEASURE
| MEASURE: Reduce the
error in global measurement of sea surface temperature |
| Year |
Status |
Actual |
Target |
| FY 2006 |
|
0.53șC |
0.5șC |
Performance was not met, because:
The measure actual is slightly below the target of .5șC, due to drifting
buoys not being in the right place at the right time. |
Strategies for Improvement:
NOAA will continue to refine the deployment of the buoys to cover
these gaps. |
| Year |
Status |
Historical Results |
| FY 2005 |
|
New—no
target to measure against |
NOAA PERFORMANCE MEASURE
| MEASURE: Improve
society’s ability to plan and respond to climate variability
and change using NOAA climate products and information |
| Year |
Status |
Actual |
Target |
| FY 2006 |
|
33 assessments/evaluations |
32 assessments/evaluations |
| Year |
Status |
Historical Results |
| FY 2005 |
|
New—no
target to measure against |
|
